All two children die hard labor decreased need to improve women’s employment security system disise.com

All two children die hard labor decreased need to improve women’s employment security system comprehensive two child policy labor is still missing? Huang Kuangshi’s negative growth in working age population is the biggest background of the two child policy. In a sense, the introduction of a comprehensive two child policy is the objective necessity of the working age population into negative growth. The National Bureau of statistics released data show that, if in accordance with the statistics of 16-59 years old, less than 2011 in 2012 3 million 710 thousand, then continued negative growth; according to the statistics of 15-64 years old, fell 1 million 130 thousand in 2014 than in 2013, then continued to decline. According to the 16-59 age population accounts for the proportion of the population in 2010, 0.1 percentage points lower than in 2009, then accelerated decline; if 15-64 age population accounts for the proportion of the population, in 2011 fell 0.1 percentage points higher than in 2010, then accelerated decline. That is to say, whether from the working age population in absolute amount, or relative amount, whether it is 16-59 or statistics, statistics 15-64 years before 2014, China’s working age population into the negative growth stage. If the labor force participation rate unchanged, the negative growth of the working age population means a negative growth of total labor force, means Chinese has abundant labor force by labor era to the great changes in labor shortage era, this shift implies that the labor market will be a shortage of labor wages will begin to rise, the traditional labor-intensive and low labor supply industries rely on the tension, the advantage of low cost of labor intensive industry is about to lose. More importantly, the working age population into negative growth means the population policy has begun to alarm, double single past two children and two children alone policy adjustment is not enough, need to be more lenient policy, which means that all of the two child policy is ripe. Unable to reverse the negative growth of the total according to estimates, after the two child policy implementation, 2017~2021 two increase in the number of children born about 17 million people, an average annual increase of about 3 million 400 thousand, most of the year is expected to increase 4 million 640 thousand. The policy does not adjust under the condition of the estimated annual number of births in 2016 and policy adjusted estimated an annual increase of two the number of children born to get together, 2017 to 2021 each year the total number of birth, between 17 million -2000 million people. After the implementation of a comprehensive two child policy adjustment may form a small peak in the short term. But the three baby boom since the new China established and compared to birth peak value comprehensive two child policy may form was significantly lower than the pre peak peak of three (three times before the peak were 22 million 600 thousand in 1954, 29 million 590 thousand in 1963, 25 million 290 thousand in 1987), and short duration. The last peak of fertility (from 1981 to 1997, the total fertility rate of more than 20 million) lasted for 18 years, and this birth peak will last 2-3 years. After the implementation of a comprehensive two child policy will be born after the birth of 15-16 years later相关的主题文章: